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Why are you losing 15% every year?

Published September 14, 2024

56:35

Think in Decades, Not Minutes: Building Real Wealth Through Patience and Psychology

If you've ever felt like the entire investment world is full of jargon, contradictory advice, and decisions that always seem to suit someone else, you're not alone. That's exactly why the new podcast series is being created for the Pakistan market. It's not just about numbers, charts, and stock picks — it's about the mental side of investing.

I'm speaking from experience. On top of my day job as Head of Local Institutions at a securities firm, I've built this podcast specifically for retail investors — for Pakistanis, for overseas Pakistanis, for anyone trying to find their way through the stock market. And if you skip to the end, let me save you from a future headache right now: patience is the key. It doesn't matter how much you know. If you're not patient and out of the market, you'll lose. So let's break this down, the same way I would in an episode.


Why I Create Investing Content When I Already Have a "Real" Job

You might wonder: why would someone with a full-time, high-pressured role at a securities firm take the time to make podcasts for retail investors? There is one strong psychological factor behind it. I've seen too many people lose money or simply not start because no one explained things simply enough.

Financial literacy and investing education are not the same thing. There is plenty of content that tells people "mind your expenses, save, don't waste money." And that's important. But investing? It's a lifelong journey. If you are not told, from the very beginning, that investing is long-term, you will keep thinking short-term, trading every week, checking stock prices like an app. That's not how you build wealth. So I focus on content that gives the "aha" moment — the stuff that makes you realize that this is a long-term process, and the best investors are the ones who keep going.

Pakistan's population is very young, with a young audience. Attention spans are short. Everyone wants quick wins. But at the very least, nothing should stop you from securing your financial future. There is a huge difference between a follower who merely understands the language of investing and an actual investor. My goal is to close that gap.


The Typical Standard Investment Advice Doesn't Work

A classic scenario I see over and over: a family member asks for investing advice. Everyone suggests the same thing — typical, standard stuff, without asking why you want to invest.

Here's what usually happens. You say, "I want to invest." And the person says, "Just put your money in this stock market, or this mutual fund, or that." There's a conversation about a 5% return, 8%, whatever. But what about your real circumstances? What about your purpose?

The prerequisite is asking the investing question. Why do you need to grow this money? Is it for your marriage? Your children's education? Your retirement? Or do you want to give a better life to your family members after you're gone? Then you have to find out what your risk appetite is. Although risk appetite usually grows over time, not always. It's not like buying, holding, and then checking it at your next job — it's a journey. What are your savings? How many can you set aside? And most importantly, understanding that even a good rate of return won't work overnight. You might get 5% now, but if you can keep your amount steady or increased, you will stay the course.

That's what makes the advice "run of the mill" and not helpful. It doesn't ask you to do the inner work. That's where mental preparation comes first.


Start With Your Family Protection — and Then Invest

My own investing journey started years ago by buying State Life Insurance, because I always cared about my family. And I'm glad I did. But I've already taken my words back about that strategy.

Let me explain why.

It was classic advice: A combination of insurance protection plus investment. The problem is, if you're investing through an insurance product, you're not actually investing. You're somewhere else. I think it's far better to split your actual life protection from actual savings. Life insurance and savings are two different things.

You need something like a term insurance policy — a pure protection — so that if something happens to you, your loved ones get covered. That's separate. Then, separately, you do savings and investing.

So for someone starting out: protect your family first, with a simple term policy. Then build your savings and investment portfolio. It's a solid, simple structure that avoids the blended products that don't serve either purpose.


Dividend Stocks: A Psychological Starting Point

Now, let's talk about investing. Many people recommend dividend-paying stocks. I'm one of them, but with a twist — I recommend a dividend reinvestment strategy for beginners.

If you look from a purely theoretical standpoint, dividend-paying companies may not be the best for growth. A company that pays a high dividend is basically distributing cash to its shareholders. In many cases, capital that a company like that gets could have been retained and re-deployed. Or reinvested internally for growth. We also know that one of the main reasons companies pay dividends (in certain markets) is to help the government extract taxes — and in some systems, that's expected. But for an individual, the appeal of dividends isn't always rational.

It's psychology. When you start building a stock market portfolio, getting paid a dividend is satisfying. You feel like you don't need to sell your shares. You're making money. And financially, if you reinvest those dividends directly into more shares, you can accelerate your returns as you get a "return on return."

Now, if you are just starting out, that's a great way to engage with the stock market. You can start with dividend-paying, highly liquid companies, which are often your export-oriented sectors in Pakistan. Why? Because these are companies that have a strong boom-bust cycle, but they still give you a steady income. Even when the market is down, you can buy at good prices with your reinvested dividends.

The reason I promote dividend reinvestment in this way is personal strategy. If you're in India, you look at the vehicle. You build a solid basket of dividend-growers, and you don't think about selling — ever. With annual returns from dividends, an eighteen-year track record, and reinvesting plus adding fresh savings, the theoretical disadvantage of low growth gets balanced automatically. That 5% advantage of a growth company shrinks when you always stay in the market and keep compounding.

That's how your long term horizon takes care of the entire thing: the right choice of company plus time in the market.

In my own portfolio, I remember my returns were thirty-five percent, and then they jumped up to fifty-two percent in another year. In a video coming out on Friday — insha'Allah — I'll explain exactly which stock gave me that. But the key is that if you have dividends coming back faster than an average company, you're not stuck in the whole investment cycle. You have money to reinvest.

So if you're a beginner: start with a basket of dividend stocks. Do it for six months or a year. You'll get the confidence, you'll get actual cash flow, and you'll start to understand the stock market with the least amount of risk.


Fundamentals vs. Technicals: Understanding What Drives Prices

One of the biggest debates in the investing world is fundamental analysis vs. technical analysis. I am a fundamental investor since the very beginning. That's who I am.

Why? Because if you look at stock price movements, I believe eighty percent of a stock's move comes from fundamentals, and only twenty percent from technicals. The fundamentals — results, news, quarterly earnings — change the value of a company. The technicals — charts, trends — are just tools to time your entry and exit.

So if you are a long-term investor, do not be fooled. Price movement will always be strongest in the direction of the fundamentals. Choose the company based on its balance sheet, management, sector, and growth. That should be your primary.

But if you are a trader — if you are really using various asset classes and trying to catch small price movements — then technicals may suit you better. The important thing is not to mix the two without understanding your own framework. Many people try to become technical traders with no fundamental basis, and that is precisely where I've seen the biggest losses. The wrong operators hold the frame upside down and lose everything.

My simple rule: if you're a fundamental investor, seek out the best companies — the ones with obvious competitive strength. For a technical trader, look at the chart and time the stock, but always respect that underlying result, so you never bet everything on a chart line without a business behind it.


My Own Investment Journey (And the Numbers)

I've been fully invested in the stock market for the last fifteen to eighteen years. My entire wealth has been sitting there, not in scattered bets. Along the way, my portfolio has seen string returns — I've had 35%, and then 52% in a single year. And this happened because I stayed invested no matter what, and always relied on my own numbers.

I didn't start to get rich overnight. I started with a clear purpose: protect the family, save, then invest. I picked well-known, multi-billion-dollar companies and held them. I still believe in that simple rule: choose companies with strong market position and scale. If you do that for decades, you'll rarely be unhappy.

And for the record, despite the common fear, equities as an asset class are not the most volatile thing for a long-term investor. The stock market is less risky than people think when you stay with the strong, high-quality companies over a long period.


Feedback That Makes It All Worthwhile

If there's one thing that gives me a satisfaction, it's receiving messages from listeners. Over the course of the podcast, I've had opportunities to explain things on spaces, in videos, and through the podcast itself. And I've received emails like:

"I listened in on your space and I've learned a lot."

"I've been investing differently thanks to your podcast."

"I've now understood that investing is a mindset, not an emergency money mint."

These stories are gold. They remind me why I spend time creating content. And lately, someone told me, "I've been so good that I think my past could have been better than I thought." But now I ask: what does that really mean? Their life isn't any different, but they're waiting for the future — and they're going to work for it. That's what investment is about.


My Final Investing Advice: Think in Decades, Not Minutes

If there is only one piece of advice I want you to carry with you after reading this, it's this: think in decades, not minutes. When you start to think in decades, you remove the pressure of what happens next week or next month. When the stock goes down, when an investment seems too slow, when everything else in your life is moving so fast — remind yourself that you're building wealth for ten years from now, not for tomorrow.

And it's the same with a business. When you start a venture, don't think about the initial push or the painful early years. Think about what your behavior will look like ten years from now. Will it have a million visitors on your website? Will it have a sustainable, dedicated customer base? If you want success, you have to give every important area of your life the freedom to grow over time.

So give your money some time. Give your career some time. Give your stocks some time.

Patience is the strategy for investing — and for living your best financial life.

17.6KViews
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87Comments
@arifhussain-ng5wg
@arifhussain-ng5wg2y ago

اللہ تعالیٰ آپ کی زندگی میں خیر وبرکت عافیت اور اپنی رضا عطا فرمائے آمین ساٹھ سال سے زائد ہوگیا کاش آپ کاپلیٹ فارم پچیس سال کی عمر میں مل جاتا نوجوانوں کو آپ سے استفادہ حاصل کر نا چاہیے

5
@iftikharahmad8533
@iftikharahmad85332y ago

I don't miss videos of Mr. furqan and Abdul Rehman Najam.

4
@InvestKaar
@InvestKaar2y ago

If you have decided that the stock market is your way forward for investing: Join the InvestKaar Investor Community: https://community.investkaar.com/ - If you are confused about what to do, take a one-to-one call first: https://community.investkaar.com/1-1

3
@DevSprinting
@DevSprinting2y ago

Really appreciating the longer format! cant wait for your channel to blow up Furqan

3
@AbdullahShorts268
@AbdullahShorts2682y ago

starting wali lines mera dil ki thi

2
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